So here’s a little graph charting the odds of the each of the 16 nations who competed in the 2012 Africa Cup of Nations. Each morning, I visited the Paddy Power website, and made a note of the odds of all the teams still left in the competition.
The African Cup of Nations saw relative outsiders Zambia, priced at 40/1 on the first morning of the competition, prevail against an Ivory Coast team who’s price was never greater than 6/4. The prices of the more favoured teams are a little bit tricky to make out on such a small scale, so hopefully this zoomable pdf makes things a little easier.
I was hoping with this visualisation to see examples of key events having a dramatic influence on the betting patterns of teams. I wondered if injuries and suspensions would effect prices quoted by bookmakers, and therefore be reflected in the graph, however the tournament was relatively un-dramatic in these terms.
The illustration isn’t quite as interesting as I was hoping, however you can see the impressive move by Zambia, and some interesting patterns created by Sudan and Equatorial Guinea as they progressed through the tournament.